📝 Wine list & beverage packages · ⏱️ 2 min read

How do I calculate whether a more expensive wine...

📝 KitchenNmbrs · updated 06 Apr 2026

Quick answer
Running a restaurant wine program is like managing a portfolio of investments. Each bottle represents a bet on what your customers will buy and at what price. The key isn't just picking expensive wines—it's finding the sweet spot where purchase cost, selling price, and volume create maximum profit.

Running a restaurant wine program is like managing a portfolio of investments. Each bottle represents a bet on what your customers will buy and at what price. The key isn't just picking expensive wines—it's finding the sweet spot where purchase cost, selling price, and volume create maximum profit.

The basics: pour cost for wine

Wine follows the same principle as food: the pour cost. This is the percentage of your selling price that goes to purchasing.

? Pour cost formula:

Pour cost % = (Purchase price / Selling price excl. VAT) × 100

Note: wine has 21% VAT, not 9%!

Compare total profit, not just margin per bottle

A cheap wine with lower margin can generate more profit if you sell much more of it. That's why you need to look at:

  • Margin per bottle (selling price minus purchase price)
  • Number of bottles sold per month
  • Total profit (margin × quantity)

? Example comparison:

Budget selection:

  • Purchase price: €8.00
  • Selling price: €24.00 incl. VAT (€19.83 excl.)
  • Margin per bottle: €11.83
  • Sales: 60 bottles/month

Premium selection:

  • Purchase price: €15.00
  • Selling price: €42.00 incl. VAT (€34.71 excl.)
  • Margin per bottle: €19.71
  • Sales: 25 bottles/month

Total profit budget: €11.83 × 60 = €710/month

Total profit premium: €19.71 × 25 = €493/month

Factors that influence sales

The number of bottles sold depends on various factors:

  • Target audience: fine dining guests accept higher prices
  • Occasion: business dinners order more expensive wines than families
  • Season: you sell more champagne in December than in March
  • Presentation: sommelier advice increases average check

⚠️ Watch out:

A selection that's too expensive can lead to less wine sales overall. Guests will then only order water or beer.

Test with mixed selection

The smartest approach is often a mixed selection with different price ranges:

  • Entry-level wines: €18-25 (pour cost 25-30%)
  • Mid-range: €28-38 (pour cost 30-35%)
  • Premium: €45+ (pour cost 35-40%)

Track for 3 months which price range sells best and what it does to your total wine revenue. This is the kind of thing you only learn after closing your first month at a loss—paper calculations don't account for customer psychology.

? Example calculation 3 months:

You test a more expensive selection and see:

  • Month 1: €2,100 wine revenue, €840 profit
  • Month 2: €1,950 wine revenue, €780 profit
  • Month 3: €1,800 wine revenue, €720 profit

Declining trend = go back to cheaper selection

Wine list analysis tools

With a food cost calculator like KitchenNmbrs you can track per wine:

  • Exact pour cost per bottle
  • Sales quantities per month
  • Total profit per wine
  • Which wines perform best

This way you can see directly which selection generates more profit without having to calculate manually.

How do you calculate which wine selection generates more profit?

1

Calculate the margin per bottle

Subtract the purchase price from the selling price (excl. 21% VAT). This is your margin per bottle. Note: wine has 21% VAT, so a bottle of €30 incl. is €24.79 excl. VAT.

2

Count the number of bottles sold

Track for 3 months how many bottles you sell from each selection. Calculate the average per month. This gives you a realistic picture of demand.

3

Calculate total monthly profit

Multiply margin per bottle by number of bottles sold per month. The selection with the highest total monthly profit generates the most, even if the margin per bottle is lower.

✨ Pro tip

Compare your wine attachment rate (percentage of tables ordering wine) over 6 weeks before and after switching selections. A 15% drop in attachment rate means your pricing scared customers away from wine entirely.

Calculate this yourself?

In the KitchenNmbrs app you can do this in just a few clicks. 7 days free, no credit card.

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Frequently asked questions

What pour cost is normal for wine?
A typical pour cost for wine is between 25% and 35%. For premium wines this can go up to 40%, but then you need to be sure you'll sell them.
Should I include VAT in my wine margin calculation?
No, always calculate excl. VAT. Wine has 21% VAT, so a bottle of €30 incl. VAT is €24.79 excl. VAT for your margin calculation.
How long should I test before drawing conclusions?
Test for at least 3 months. Wine sales can be seasonal, so 1 month doesn't give you a reliable picture of what works and what doesn't.
What if my expensive wines don't sell at all?
Then you've set your prices too high for your target audience. Try a middle category of €28-35 or focus on better presentation and wine advice from your staff.
Can I use different price ranges together?
Yes, that's often the smartest approach. Offer choices in different price ranges, but track which ones sell best and adjust your selection accordingly.
How do I price wines from small producers with higher wholesale costs?
Small producer wines often justify higher pour costs (35-40%) because of their story and uniqueness. But you need staff trained to sell that story to guests.
Should I factor in wine wastage when calculating margins?
Absolutely. Factor in 2-3% wastage for opened bottles that don't sell and occasional breakage. This affects your real pour cost calculation significantly.
ℹ️ This article was prepared based on official sources and professional expertise. While we strive for current and accurate information, the content may differ from the most recent regulations. Always consult the official authorities for binding standards.

Sources consulted

Food Standards Agency (FSA) https://www.food.gov.uk

The HACCP standards shown in this application are for informational purposes only. KitchenNmbrs does not guarantee that displayed values are current or complete. Always consult the FSA or your local authority for the latest regulations.

JS

Written by

Jeffrey Smit

Founder & CEO of KitchenNmbrs

Jeffrey Smit built KitchenNmbrs from 8 years of hands-on experience as kitchen manager at 1NUL8 Group in Rotterdam. His mission: give every restaurant owner control over food cost.

8 years kitchen manager at 1NUL8 Group Rotterdam
Expertise: food cost management HACCP kitchen management restaurant operations food safety compliance

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