Supplier price increases are inevitable, but guests are price-sensitive too. You're caught between rising costs and customers already grumbling about your prices. Most operators think they must choose between profit and customers, but there's a smarter way.
First, analyze your current situation
Before making any moves, you need to understand exactly where you stand. Check three critical areas:
- Calculate your total cost increase - Add up all price hikes from this supplier
- Review your current food cost percentage - If it's already above 35%, you can't absorb much more
- Count actual complaints, not perceived ones - Often it feels like more guests are complaining than actually are
💡 Example:
Your supplier raises meat prices by 15%. Meat represents 40% of your total purchases.
- Impact on total food cost: 15% × 40% = 6%
- If your food cost was 30%, it jumps to 31.8%
- On €500,000 in revenue: €9,000 less profit annually
That's far too much to ignore.
You have four options
There are only four ways to handle this situation. Each comes with trade-offs:
Option 1: Raise your prices
The most direct approach, but also the riskiest. Don't increase everything simultaneously - be strategic:
- Target your bestsellers first - customers will order them regardless
- Increase incrementally - €1-2 jumps fly under the radar
- Test with regulars initially - they're less price-sensitive
⚠️ Watch out:
Never increase more than 10% at once. Guests spot large jumps immediately. Two 5% increases spaced months apart work much better.
Option 2: Source cheaper ingredients
Sometimes you can create identical dishes using different ingredients:
- Alternative suppliers - but verify quality remains consistent
- Different protein cuts - bavette instead of ribeye saves €8/kg
- Seasonal menu adjustments - build around what's currently affordable
Option 3: Adjust portions
Subtle portion reductions can help, but tread carefully:
- Reduce by 5-10% maximum - guests typically won't notice
- Add more vegetables as filler - they cost significantly less
- Enhance plating presentation - can disguise smaller portions
💡 Example:
Reducing steak from 200g to 180g:
- Savings: 20g × €45/kg = €0.90 per portion
- At 50 portions weekly: €2,340 annually
- Add extra vegetables for €0.30
Net savings: €0.60 per portion = €1,560 yearly
Option 4: Combination approach
Usually a mixed strategy works most effectively:
- Pass through 50% via price increases
- Absorb 25% through smarter purchasing
- Accept 25% from your margin
How do you communicate price increases?
If you must raise prices, do it intelligently:
- Skip the excuses - "due to rising costs" sounds defensive
- Emphasize quality - "we maintain our commitment to premium ingredients"
- Roll out gradually - not every dish simultaneously
- Maintain affordable choices - keep budget-friendly options available
Monitor the impact
After implementing changes, track these metrics closely. It's the kind of thing you only learn after closing your first month at a loss - data beats assumptions every time:
- Weekly cover counts - are guest numbers dropping?
- Average check amounts - are ordering patterns shifting?
- Price-related complaints - document and address them seriously
- Overall food cost percentage - ensure it stays within acceptable ranges
⚠️ Watch out:
Sometimes accepting temporarily lower margins beats losing customers. A packed restaurant with 2% less margin trumps an empty one with theoretically higher margins.
Tools for precise decision-making
These decisions require exact calculations, not guesswork. Food cost calculators help you see immediately:
- Per-dish impact analysis - which items become unprofitable after increases?
- Recipe alternatives - what does the same dish cost with substitute ingredients?
- Minimum pricing thresholds - the lowest prices you can charge while staying profitable
This way you base decisions on hard numbers, not hunches.
How do you handle a supplier price increase? (step by step)
Calculate the total impact
Add up how much all your costs are rising. Multiply each increase by that supplier's share of your total purchases. This tells you how much your food cost will rise.
Determine your options per dish
Check for each dish what the new cost price will be. Calculate what you need to charge at minimum to stay under 35% food cost. Compare this with your current menu price.
Choose your strategy per dish
Popular dishes can handle a small price increase. For less popular ones, it's better to adjust the portion or find cheaper ingredients. Always test small before you change everything.
✨ Pro tip
Calculate the profit impact on your top 3 bestsellers within 48 hours of any supplier increase. If those dishes remain profitable at current prices, you've bought yourself 2-3 months to strategically adjust everything else.
Calculate this yourself?
In the KitchenNmbrs app you can do this in just a few clicks. 7 days free, no credit card.
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Frequently asked questions
How much can I realistically increase prices without losing customers?
Maximum 5-10% at a time works for most restaurants. Anything higher becomes too obvious to guests. Two smaller increases spaced 3-4 months apart perform much better than one large jump.
Should I raise prices on all menu items simultaneously?
Never raise everything at once. Start with your top 3-5 bestsellers since customers will order them anyway. Keep several affordable options for price-sensitive guests to maintain your customer base.
What's the difference between temporary and permanent customer loss after price increases?
Monitor weekly covers and average checks for 6-8 weeks. A 10-15% dip in the first 2 weeks is normal as customers adjust. If numbers don't recover by week 6, your increases were probably too aggressive.
Can I negotiate with suppliers instead of passing costs to customers?
Always try negotiating first, especially if you're a significant customer. Ask about volume discounts, extended payment terms, or alternative products. Many suppliers prefer keeping good customers over losing them entirely.
How do I handle customers who complain directly about price increases?
Acknowledge their concern without apologizing for your prices. Redirect the conversation to value: ingredient quality, preparation methods, or service standards. Offer them lower-priced alternatives if available.
What if my food costs are already above 35% before the supplier increase?
You're in crisis territory and can't absorb much more. Focus immediately on portion control and recipe optimization before considering price increases. Consider dropping your most expensive, lowest-margin dishes temporarily.
📚 Sources consulted
- EU Verordening 852/2004 — Levensmiddelenhygiëne (2004) — Official source
- EU Verordening 853/2004 — Hygiënevoorschriften voor levensmiddelen van dierlijke oorsprong (2004) — Official source
- EU Verordening 1169/2011 — Voedselinformatie aan consumenten (2011) — Official source
- NVWA — Hygiënecode voor de horeca (2024) — Official source
- NVWA — Allergenen in voedsel (2024) — Official source
- Codex Alimentarius — International Food Standards (2024) — Official source
- FSA — Safer food, better business (HACCP) (2024) — Official source
- BVL — Lebensmittelhygiene (HACCP) (2024) — Official source
- Warenwetbesluit Bereiding en behandeling van levensmiddelen (2024) — Official source
- WHO — Foodborne diseases estimates (2024) — Official source
Food Standards Agency (FSA) — https://www.food.gov.uk
The HACCP standards shown in this application are for informational purposes only. KitchenNmbrs does not guarantee that displayed values are current or complete. Always consult the FSA or your local authority for the latest regulations.
Written by
Jeffrey Smit
Founder & CEO of KitchenNmbrs
Jeffrey Smit built KitchenNmbrs from 8 years of hands-on experience as kitchen manager at 1NUL8 Group in Rotterdam. His mission: give every restaurant owner control over food cost.
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